How Many Votes Does It Take for a Party to Win a Seat?
Vote shares only make sense in context, so how can we know how many it takes to win?
Latest Writing by Jack Bailey
Hi, I'm Jack Bailey.
I'm a political scientist at the University of Manchester and a Co-Director of the British Election Study.
I study elections and electoral systems, and I welcome requests for comment and collaboration.
You can follow me on Bluesky and LinkedIn, and find links to my research on Google Scholar.
More about me 
The 2024 UK General Election, Ward by Ward
Using MRP to estimate how Britain voted in 7,993 wards.
Taxing on a Curve
Why not replace the UK's system of cliff edge tax changes with a continuous income tax curve instead?