Blog Posts – Jack Bailey

Divergence and Disproportionality

Elections

Logical Models

Information Theory

Some steps towards a new measure of disproportionality and a logical model

Pruning the Logical Modelling Tree

Elections

Logical Models

Some routes towards a new logical model of disproportionality

Seats, Urns, Ballots, and Balls

Elections

Probability Theory

Logical Models

We can estimate seat winning parties in district level elections using simple combinatorics

Redshift at the Polls

Elections

Democracy

Political Science

Historic election results are becoming more and more uncertain and we’re doing nothing to stop it

Introducing Shannon Regression

Statistics

Information Theory

An information theoretic alternative to logistic and probit regression for binary outcomes